Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.192414 0.223214 0.257378 0.298091 0.345304 0.398350 0.462509
2025-06-01 0.145936 0.187569 0.238667 0.306032 0.392603 0.500259 0.644551
2025-06-08 0.118982 0.164043 0.223314 0.307066 0.422566 0.576575 0.798137
2025-06-15 0.102214 0.149222 0.214647 0.312483 0.455419 0.657202 0.964832
2025-06-22 0.086410 0.132536 0.199941 0.305796 0.468360 0.709470 1.096013
2025-06-29 0.075115 0.120412 0.189556 0.303005 0.485198 0.767647 1.241360
2025-07-06 0.067046 0.111899 0.183144 0.304822 0.508382 0.837000 1.411403
2025-07-13 0.062867 0.108930 0.184854 0.319450 0.553354 0.945472 1.657792
2025-07-20 0.058518 0.105002 0.184316 0.329908 0.592086 1.047385 1.904866
2025-07-27 0.054606 0.101267 0.183514 0.339536 0.630088 1.151745 2.168264
2025-08-03 0.050193 0.096028 0.179345 0.342388 0.655819 1.236573 2.405405
2025-08-10 0.045402 0.089469 0.171946 0.338186 0.667560 1.296425 2.601591
2025-08-17 0.040266 0.081721 0.161606 0.327439 0.666064 1.332241 2.757982
2025-08-24 0.037882 0.079148 0.160981 0.335869 0.703761 1.449196 3.093685
2025-08-31 0.034994 0.075173 0.157065 0.337013 0.726470 1.538224 3.381806
2025-09-07 0.032881 0.072549 0.155570 0.342963 0.759832 1.652771 3.738513
2025-09-14 0.029810 0.067480 0.148342 0.335617 0.763338 1.703815 3.960588
2025-09-21 0.027425 0.063646 0.143333 0.332553 0.775915 1.775900 4.239186
2025-09-28 0.025666 0.061024 0.140697 0.334548 0.800228 1.876925 4.597872
2025-10-05 0.025053 0.061002 0.143936 0.350614 0.859446 2.064994 5.189284
2025-10-12 0.024150 0.060176 0.145209 0.362101 0.908952 2.235658 5.759128
2025-10-19 0.023240 0.059226 0.146076 0.372677 0.957430 2.409271 6.358255
2025-10-26 0.021957 0.057190 0.144076 0.375810 0.987436 2.540455 6.863757